000			00910cam a2200145 4500
020			_a9780815729907 (hbk) : _c 28.05 USD
100	1		_aFUKUYAMA Francis
245			_aBlindside : _bhow to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics/ _cedited by Francis Fukuyama
260			_aWashington DC : _bBrookings Institution Press, _c2007
300			_a198 p.
520			_aConsiders why major events appear to come as complete surprises even when they could have been or even were predicted. Features case studies of some recent events such as the Asian financial crisis, then looks at possible future surprises (a renewed DARPA, energy security, infectious diseases), then addresses the problem of psychological preparedness for low probability events, and concludes with some discussions on possible futures.
650			_aEMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
650			_aDISASTER PLANNING
945			_i23647-1001 _rY _sY
999			_c9457 _d9457