000			01179cam a2200181 4500
020			_a9780801443435 (hbk) : _c32.50 USD
100	1		_aPRESS Daryl G
245			_aCalculating credibility : _bhow leaders assess military threats / _cDaryl G Press
260			_aIthaca NY : _bCornell Univ Press , _c2005
300			_aix, 218 p.
520			_aUses three different crises (German assessment of British and French credibility in 1938-39; British and American assessments of Soviet credibility over the Berlin crisis 1958-61; and American assessment of Soviet credibility over the Cuban missile crisis 1962) to try to understand how leaders assess whether the threats emanating from an adversary are credible or not. Considers four different theories or approaches of credibility: past actions, current calculus, ingrained lessons; and never again. Finds that past actions are not a good indicator whereas threats backed by power and serving clear interests are considered more believable.
650			_aINTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
650			_aRISK ASSESSMENT
650			_aTHREAT ASSESSMENT
650			_aMILITARY THREATS
650			_aMILITARY CAPABILITY
945			_i22255-1001 _rY _sY
999			_c8141 _d8141