000 00777cam a2200121 4500
100 1 _aFRUHLING Stephan
245 _aUncertainty, forecasting and the difficulty of strategy /
_cStephan Fruhling
260 _c2006
520 _aDescribes the four basic sources of uncertainty that make it difficult to predict the international security environment: intelligence and deception, friction, strategic interactions with the enemy, and revolutions in military affairs. Because none of the basic sources of uncertainty can be eliminated strategy will always be difficult and will always remain an art rather than a science.
650 _aSTRATEGY
773 _aComparative Strategy:
_ban International Journal:
_gVol 25 No 1, January-March 2006, pp.19-31 (113)
945 _i20480-1001
_rY
_sY
999 _c6447
_d6447