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100			_aDAHL Erik J. _eauthor
245			_a‘Predictive intelligence for tomorrow’s threats’: _bis predictive intelligence possible? / _cErik J. Dahl and David Strachan-Morris
260			_c2024
520			_aThe world is facing an ever-changing array of complex threats to international security. Yet intelligence agencies have a mixed record of anticipating these threats, while decision-makers have an equally mixed record of effectively acting on predictive intelligence when offered. Sometimes intelligence has provided a useful warning, such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but at other times it has failed to anticipate critical events, such as the progress of fighting in Ukraine or the likelihood that a mob would carry out a deadly assault on the US Capitol building. And at still other times intelligence agencies appear to have provided warning, and yet policy makers failed to listen, such as before the Hamas attack on Israel on 7 October 2023. This special issue looks toward future threats and challenges and asks, how can intelligence better inform policy makers and help them anticipate and act upon future threats?
650			_aINTELLIGENCE
650			_aNATIONAL SECURITY
650			_aINTELLIGENCE FAILURE
700			_aSTRACHAN-MORRIS David _eauthor
773			_gThe Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism, Volume 19, Issue 4, September 2024, pages: 423-435
856			_uhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/18335330.2024.2404834 _zClick here for full text
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