000			02327nam a22002057a 4500
001			47260
020			_a9781324066101 (pbk.) _cUSD19.95
082			_a327.73051 BRA
100			_aBRANDS Hal _eauthor
245			_aDanger zone: _bthe coming conflict with China/ _cby Hal Brands and Michael Beckley
250			_aUpdated with a new epilogue
260			_aNew York: _bW. W. Norton & Company, _c2023
300			_axvii, 283 pages: _c21 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
520			_a"A provocative and urgent analysis of the U.S.-China rivalry. It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a "superpower marathon" that may last a century. Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint? The Sino-American contest is driven by clashing geopolitical interests and a stark ideological dispute over whether authoritarianism or democracy will dominate the 21st century. But both history and China's current trajectory suggest that this rivalry will reach its moment of maximum danger in the 2020s. China is at a perilous moment: strong enough to violently challenge the existing order, yet losing confidence that time is on its side. Numerous examples from antiquity to the present show that rising powers become most aggressive when their fortunes fade, their difficulties multiply, and they realize they must achieve their ambitions now or miss the chance to do so forever. China has already started down this path. Witness its aggression toward Taiwan, its record-breaking military buildup, and its efforts to dominate the critical technologies that will shape the world's future. Over the long run, the Chinese challenge will most likely prove more manageable than many pessimists currently believe-but during the 2020s, the pace of Sino-American conflict will accelerate, and the prospect of war will be frighteningly real. America, Brands and Beckley argue, will still need a sustainable approach to winning a protracted global competition. But first, it needs a near-term strategy for navigating the danger zone ahead."
650			_aPOLITICAL SCIENCE
650			_aCHINA _xFOREIGN RELATION _z21ST CENTURY
700			_aBECKLEY Michael _eauthor
942			_2ddc _cBOOK _n0
999			_c47260 _d47260