000			01412nam a22002057a 4500
001			46676
003			OSt
005			20240202104033.0
008			240202b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040			_c0
100			_aSEITZ Samuel M.
245			_aLetting sleeping bears lie: _bUkraine's cautious approach to uncertainty before the war/ _cSamuel M. Seitz
260			_c2023
520			_aInternational relations theory has long suggested that uncertainty during militarized crises pushes states to adopt escalatory behavior. However, the leadup to the Russo-Ukrainian War challenges this view, with Kyiv downplaying the risk of conflict and adopting a cautious foreign policy. I argue that Ukrainian behavior in the leadup to the war demonstrates the need to disaggregate between types of uncertainty. While uncertainty over an adversary’s intentions and capabilities can push a state to adopt escalatory behavior, uncertainty regarding a potential adversary’s military strategy and regarding the level of support it can expect from third parties incentivizes a state to assume a more cautious posture.
598			_aRUSSO-UKRAINIAN WAR, NEWARTICLS
650			_aRUSSO-UKRAINIAN WAR
773			_gContemporary Security Policy, Vol 44, No 4, October 2023, page: 530-543
856			_uhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13523260.2023.2257966 _zClick here for full text
942			_2ddc _cARTICLE _n0
999			_c46676 _d46676