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100 1 _aBARA Corinne
700 _aKREUTZ Joakim
245 _aTo buy a war but sell the peace?
_bmercenaries and post-civil war stability/
_cCorinne Bara & Joakim Kreutz
260 _c2022
520 _aPrivate military and security companies (PMSCs) and mercenaries are a common feature in civil wars, yet little systematic analysis of PMSC involvement and conflict dynamics exists. This article explores whether civil conflicts that feature PMSC forces in combat are more likely to recur. We contend that the presence of PMSCs in fighting exacerbates the postwar credible commitment problem, as belligerents will be concerned about the possibility to redeploy such forces in the future. Belligerents pay more attention to more recent and more visible information, meaning that the effects should be greatest if PMSCs feature extensively in combat and at the end of the conflict. A duration analysis of data from the Private Security Events Database and Uppsala Conflict Data Program, 1990-2014, offers robust support for these claims. Our results suggest that conflict management should consider aspects beyond the local context as risk factors for civil war recurrence.
650 _aSECURITY
650 _a"GUNS FOR HIRE"
650 _aCIVIL WAR
650 _aCIVIL WAR RECURRENCE AFTER COMPLEX CONFLICT SETTINGS
650 _aPEACEMAKING IN THE SHADOW OF MERCENARIES
773 _aSecurity Studies : Vol.31, No.3, June-July 2022 pp.417-445 (118)
598 _aSECURITY
856 _uhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09636412.2022.2097890
_zClick here for full text
945 _i69273.1001
_rY
_sY
999 _c42355
_d42355