000 01980cam a2200217 4500
100 1 _aBALCAEN Pieter
700 _aBOIS Cind Du
700 _aBUTS Caroline
245 _aA game-theoretic analysis of hybrid threats/
_cPieter Balcaen, Cind Du Bois & Caroline Buts
260 _c2022
520 _aFor decades, the concept of deterrence and the fear for nuclear confrontation withheld large powers from waging aggression against each other. Recent technological developments and the growing interconnectedness however allowed some states to find ways to challenge the West by using so called 'hybrid threats'. This way of waging war entails the synchronized use of a broad spectrum of instruments that are well-designed to stay below the thresholds of detection, attribution and retaliation. Combining these (relatively cheap) threats with conventional military hard power confronts the liberal democracies with a difficult choice in terms of defence budget allocation. Whereas arms race stability in the conventional and nuclear domain leads to a peaceful stalemate, this article demonstrates that adding hybrid threats to the spectrum of state power projection leads to a gradual shift of the power balance. While hybrid threats have been extensively studied within the international relations literature, we are (to the best of our knowledge) the first to study these changing security paradigms from a defence economic point of view. Moreover, this article is the first to represent this increasingly complicated state power competition in a game theoretic framework.
650 _aHYBRID THREATS
_xHYBRID WARFARE
650 _aGAME THEORY
650 _aDETERRENCE
650 _aSTATE COMPETITION
650 _aRUSSIA
773 _aDefence and Peace Economics:
_gVol 33, No. 1, January 2022, pp.26-41
598 _aRUSSIA, WARFARE
856 _uhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10242694.2021.1875289
_zClick here for full text
945 _i69118.1001
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