000			01774cam a2200181 4500
100	1		_aZHANG Shenghao
245			_aTrade potential and UN Peacekeeping participation/ _cShenghao Zhang
260			_c2022
520			_aThe determinants of a country's UN peacekeeping troop contribution have been persistently studied. Trade, as a crucial self-interest motivation, is one of the important explanatory variables in the extant literature. However, the existing literature presents mixed results on the influence of trade on peacekeeping troop contributions. To capture the effect of trade on contributions precisely, we need to model expectations about future trade volume in a better way. Countries are pressured by the economic and political risks caused by the trade disruption and lobby groups to send peacekeeping troops to enable future trade or secure future investments. Therefore, trade potential, rather than realized trade, drives peacekeeping troop contributions. A gravity model is used to measure the trade potential between the UN peacekeeping mission countries and contributors, and test its relationship with the UN peacekeeping participation. Based on this measurement and a dyadic troop contribution dataset covering the period from 1990 to 2012, this article demonstrates that the counter-factual predictive trade volume is a relevant predictor of UN peacekeeping troop contributions.
650			_aTRADE POTENTIAL
650			_aUN PEACEKEEPING
650			_aGRAVITY MODEL
650			_aUNITED NATIONS
773			_aInternational Peacekeeping: _gVol 29, No.1, February 2022, pp.57-84 (96)
598			_aUN, PEACEKEEP
856			_uhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13533312.2021.1910808 _zClick here for full text
945			_i69051.1001 _rY _sY
999			_c42148 _d42148