000			01440cam a2200145 4500
100	1		_aBOLLFRASS Alexander K.
245			_aSeparating isotope facts from fallacies: _bnuclear weapons proliferation in the eyes of three intelligence communities/ _cAlexander K. Bollfrass
260			_c2022
520			_aSeparating Isotope Facts from Fallacies compares how intelligence agencies have performed in assessing the nuclear proliferation intentions of other countries. Using original archival and declassified documents from the Cold War era, the study appraises the accuracy of American, British, and West German intelligence proliferation assessments of India and Argentina. Contrary to pervasive scepticism, the available historical documentation shows that intelligence agencies did not habitually inflate their assessments of proliferation risks unless they anticipated arms race dynamics. Second, target state attitudes toward the nonproliferation regime provide essential clues to their nuclear intent. Third, more information about intentions did not inherently improve accuracy.
650			_aINTELLIGENCE _xNATIONAL SECURITY _xINTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (IR) _xPROLIFERATING RIVAL _x
773			_aIntelligence and National Security : _gVol. 37, No 3, April 2022, pp. 377-401 (99)
598			_aINTEL, NATSEC
856			_uhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02684527.2021.1992153 _zClick here for full text
945			_i67354.1001 _rY _sY
999			_c41417 _d41417