000 00887cam a2200181 4500
100 1 _aNANLOHY Sascha
700 _aBUTCHER Charles
700 _aGOLDSMITH Benjamin E
245 _aThe policy value of quantitative atrocity forecasting models/
_cSascha Nanlohy, et.al
260 _c2017
520 _aIt is time to integrate quantitative atrocity forecasting more directly and systematically into the foreign policy processes of middle and major powers interested in preventing these terrible but all too common events. This article analyses the potential utility of relatively reliable mid-to-long-term forecasts, using a number of examples to illustrate the main points.
650 _aFOREIGN POLICY
650 _aSOCIAL SCIENCE
650 _aPOLITICS
_xPOWER
650 _aPOLITICS
_xCONFLICT
773 _aRUSI Journal:
_gApril/May 2017 p.24-32 (127)
945 _i59384-1001
_rY
_sY
999 _c34876
_d34876