| 000 | 01183cam a2200181 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 1 | _aBEN-HAIM Yakov | |
| 245 |
_aPolicy neutrality and uncertainty: _ban info-gap perspective/ _cYakov Ben-Haim |
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| 260 | _c2016 | ||
| 520 | _aThis article taking into account of reducing uncertainty as a central goal of intelligence analysis. It can mean: a) reduce ignorance or ambiguity or potential for surprise in describing situations or intentions, or b) reduce adverse impacts of ignorance, ambiguity or surprise on decision outcomes. The author highlights that analysts should identify policy options that are robust to uncertainty, and that reducing the impact of uncertainty requires awareness of policymakers' goals. The case study discussed includes the assessment of Iraqi WMD capability in 2002. | ||
| 650 | _aNATIONAL SECURITY | ||
| 650 | _aFOREIGN POLICY | ||
| 650 |
_aINTELLIGENCE SERVICE _xMETHODOLOGY |
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| 650 |
_aIRAQI _xWEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION |
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| 773 |
_aIntelligence and National Security: _gVol.31, No.7, December 2016, pp.978-992 (99) |
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| 598 | _aIRAQ | ||
| 856 |
_uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2015.1121683 _zclick for text |
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| 945 |
_i55047-1001 _rY _sY |
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| 999 |
_c33241 _d33241 |
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