| 000 | 00684cam a2200145 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 1 | _aNICK Hare | |
| 700 | _aCOGHILL Peter | ||
| 245 |
_aForward thinking : _b cognitive techniques support better forecasting/ _cNick Hare |
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| 260 | _c2016 | ||
| 520 | _aThe article analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes Theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear proggrame. Key points a long running study into political forecasting performance has identified a number of procedures. | ||
| 650 |
_aNORTH KOREA _x NUCLEAR |
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| 773 | _aJane's Intelligence Review: June 2016, Vol.28 Iss.6, pp.54-57 (123) | ||
| 598 | _aKOREA | ||
| 945 |
_i49268-1001 _rY _sY |
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| 999 |
_c31901 _d31901 |
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