000			00813cam a2200133 4500
100	1		_aCANTON Belinda
245	1	4	_aThe active management of uncertainty / _cBelinda Canton
260			_c2008
520			_aArgues that analysts should give as much attention to uncertainty as they currently do to matters of substance. Outlines what this means in practice for analytical procedures, uses Iraq 2002 as a case study to illustrate the uncertainty model, and suggests that recent efforts by the CIA, the DIA and other agencies to enhance analytic training will have little effect if uncertainty is ignored.
650			_aINTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT
650			_aUNCERTAINTY
773			_aInternational Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence : _gVol 21 No 3, Fall 2008, pp.487-518 (117)
945			_i24672-1001 _rN _sY
999			_c10404 _d10404