Forward thinking : cognitive techniques support better forecasting/ Nick Hare

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextPublication details: 2016Subject(s): In: Jane's Intelligence Review: June 2016, Vol.28 Iss.6, pp.54-57 (123)Summary: The article analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes Theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear proggrame. Key points a long running study into political forecasting performance has identified a number of procedures.
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Journal Article Mindef Library & Info Centre Journals NORTH KOREA (Browse shelf(Opens below)) 1 Not for loan 49268-1001

The article analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes Theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear proggrame. Key points a long running study into political forecasting performance has identified a number of procedures.

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