KNIGHTS Michael <br/><br/>
Losing ground :  the future of central government in Iraq / 
Michael Knights 
 -  2007 
<br/><br/> Despite American plans Iraq's central government appears to be losing ground compared with local powerbrokers. This article provides an overview then presents and analyses three scenarios for development in 2007: a) central government recovers some degree of authority; b) there is a de facto partition with the key dynamics being between the various armed sub-state groups; c) collapse of central government. Scenario B is considered most likely. The article includes Jane's country risk model for Iraq. 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>IRAQ--GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS<br/>IRAQ--RISK ASSESSMENT