TY - BOOK AU - FRUHLING Stephan TI - Uncertainty, forecasting and the difficulty of strategy PY - 2006/// KW - STRATEGY N2 - Describes the four basic sources of uncertainty that make it difficult to predict the international security environment: intelligence and deception, friction, strategic interactions with the enemy, and revolutions in military affairs. Because none of the basic sources of uncertainty can be eliminated strategy will always be difficult and will always remain an art rather than a science ER -