FRUHLING Stephan

Uncertainty, forecasting and the difficulty of strategy / Stephan Fruhling - 2006

Describes the four basic sources of uncertainty that make it difficult to predict the international security environment: intelligence and deception, friction, strategic interactions with the enemy, and revolutions in military affairs. Because none of the basic sources of uncertainty can be eliminated strategy will always be difficult and will always remain an art rather than a science.


STRATEGY