HOROWITZ Michael

Leader age, regime type, and violent international relations / by Michael Horowitz, Rose McDermott, Allan C Stam - 2005

Using a dataset of 100,000 two-state confrontations that occurred between 1875 and 2002, this article considers the relationship between the age of political leaders, the type of regime they lead, and the propensity for armed dispute. Finds that, in general, as leaders get older they become more likely to both start and escalate militarized disputes. However in personalist regimes as leader age increases the relative risk of conflict declines in comparison to other types of regime. By contrast increasing leader age in democracies increases the relative risk propensity. Indicates the importance of these findings for international diplomacy, crisis bargaining, and international game playing theories.


LEADERSHIP
AGE
CAUSES OF WAR
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
DIPLOMACY