TY - BOOK AU - IDE Tobias TI - Rise or recede? How climate disasters affect armed conflict intensity PY - 2023/// KW - CLIMATE CHANGE KW - DISASTERS KW - CONFLICT N2 - Disasters play a key role in debates about climate change, environmental stress, and security. A qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) investigates how major climate-related disasters shape the dynamics of ongoing armed conflicts. Quantitative and qualitative data are presented for twenty-one cases across Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. After climate-related disasters, 29 percent of these armed conflicts escalated, 33 percent de-escalated, and 38 percent did not change. Furthermore, only countries highly vulnerable to disasters experienced changes in conflict dynamics UR - https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00459 ER -