IDE Tobias <br/><br/>
Rise or recede? How climate disasters affect armed conflict intensity/ 
Tobias Ide 
 -  2023 
<br/><br/> Disasters play a key role in debates about climate change, environmental stress, and security. A qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) investigates how major climate-related disasters shape the dynamics of ongoing armed conflicts. Quantitative and qualitative data are presented for twenty-one cases across Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. After climate-related disasters, 29 percent of these armed conflicts escalated, 33 percent de-escalated, and 38 percent did not change. Furthermore, only countries highly vulnerable to disasters experienced changes in conflict dynamics. 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>CLIMATE CHANGE<br/>DISASTERS<br/>CONFLICT