TY  - BOOK
AU  - NANLOHY Sascha
AU  - BUTCHER Charles
AU  - GOLDSMITH Benjamin E
TI  - The policy value of quantitative atrocity forecasting models
PY  - 2017///
KW  - FOREIGN POLICY
KW  - SOCIAL SCIENCE
KW  - POLITICS
KW  - POWER
KW  - CONFLICT
N2  - It is time to integrate quantitative atrocity forecasting more directly and systematically into the foreign policy processes of middle and major powers interested in preventing these terrible but all too common events. This article analyses the potential utility of relatively reliable mid-to-long-term forecasts, using a number of examples to illustrate the main points
ER  -