TY - BOOK AU - GRABO Cynthia M TI - Anticipating surprise: analysis for strategic warning SN - 0761829520 (pbk.) PY - 2004/// CY - Lanham MD USA PB - University Press of America KW - INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS KW - UNITED STATES KW - MILITARY INTELLIGENCE N2 - This is a declassified and condensed version of a 3 volume manual written for the training of American intelligence analysts during the Cold War. Chapter headings include: the analytical method, military indications and warning, political factors for warning, the totality of evidence, surprise and timing, deception, judgements and policy, improving warning assessments ER -