TY  - BOOK
AU  - NICK Hare
AU  - COGHILL Peter
TI  - Forward thinking: cognitive techniques support better forecasting
PY  - 2016///
KW  - NORTH KOREA
KW  -  NUCLEAR
N2  - The article analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes Theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear proggrame. Key points a long running study into political forecasting performance has identified a number of procedures
ER  -