NICK Hare <br/><br/>
Forward thinking :   cognitive techniques support better forecasting/ 
Nick Hare 
 -  2016 
<br/><br/> The article analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes Theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear proggrame. Key points a long running study into political forecasting performance has identified a number of procedures. 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>NORTH KOREA -- NUCLEAR