TY - BOOK AU - TALEB Nassim Nicholas TI - The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable SN - 9781400063512 (hbk) : PY - 2007/// CY - New York PB - Random House KW - UNCERTAINTY KW - INFORMATION THEORY KW - SOCIAL ASPECTS KW - FORECASTING N2 - Black Swans are events that lie outside normal expectations, that have great impact, and despite being entirely unpredictable are subsequently subjected to human efforts to explain them and thus make them predictable. The book is an exploration of the concept of uncertainty and the problems inherent in predicting the future ER -