TY  - BOOK
AU  - CANTON Belinda
TI  - The active management of uncertainty
PY  - 2008///
KW  - INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT
KW  - UNCERTAINTY
N2  - Argues that analysts should give as much attention to uncertainty as they currently do to matters of substance. Outlines what this means in practice for analytical procedures, uses Iraq 2002 as a case study to illustrate the uncertainty model, and suggests that recent efforts by the CIA, the DIA and other agencies to enhance analytic training will have little effect if uncertainty is ignored
ER  -