Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics/ edited by Francis Fukuyama

By: Material type: TextTextPublication details: Washington DC : Brookings Institution Press, 2007Description: 198 pISBN:
  • 9780815729907 (hbk) :
Subject(s): Summary: Considers why major events appear to come as complete surprises even when they could have been or even were predicted. Features case studies of some recent events such as the Asian financial crisis, then looks at possible future surprises (a renewed DARPA, energy security, infectious diseases), then addresses the problem of psychological preparedness for low probability events, and concludes with some discussions on possible futures.
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Considers why major events appear to come as complete surprises even when they could have been or even were predicted. Features case studies of some recent events such as the Asian financial crisis, then looks at possible future surprises (a renewed DARPA, energy security, infectious diseases), then addresses the problem of psychological preparedness for low probability events, and concludes with some discussions on possible futures.

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