Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics/ edited by Francis Fukuyama
Material type: TextPublication details: Washington DC : Brookings Institution Press, 2007Description: 198 pISBN:- 9780815729907 (hbk) :
Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
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Book | Mindef Library & Info Centre On-Shelf | 363.347 FUK (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Available | 23647-1001 |
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Considers why major events appear to come as complete surprises even when they could have been or even were predicted. Features case studies of some recent events such as the Asian financial crisis, then looks at possible future surprises (a renewed DARPA, energy security, infectious diseases), then addresses the problem of psychological preparedness for low probability events, and concludes with some discussions on possible futures.
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