North Korea end game or mid game? some scenarios and their implications for US - China relations/ Andrew Scobell

By: Material type: TextTextPublication details: 2007Subject(s): In: Journal of Contemporary Vol. 16, No.51, May 2007, pp.315-323Summary: This paper considers several possible scenarios for North Korea and evaluates the implications of each for the US-China relationship. And it argues that each of the three scenarios (two end game and one mid game). First, the different Chinese and American priorities and desired outcomes are outlined. Second, the current situation in North Korea is assessed. Third, three possible scenarios are outlined and evaluated. The implications of each scenario for bilateral relations are discussed.
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This paper considers several possible scenarios for North Korea and evaluates the implications of each for the US-China relationship. And it argues that each of the three scenarios (two end game and one mid game). First, the different Chinese and American priorities and desired outcomes are outlined. Second, the current situation in North Korea is assessed. Third, three possible scenarios are outlined and evaluated. The implications of each scenario for bilateral relations are discussed.

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