Iran : the other arms race / Roger Howard

By: Material type: TextTextPublication details: 2007Subject(s): In: RUSI Journal Vol 152 No1, February 2007, pp.58-60Summary: If Iran gains nuclear weapons other countries in the region are likely to want them too, at least this is how a Middle Eastern arms race is often presented. But according to this article a nuclear arms race is not at all certain, instead it argues there would be a race to gain a clear advantage in the means to wage conventional wars. This is dangerous because a) the time scales for the acquisition of conventional weapons are much shorter than for nuclear ones, b) there is a lower threshold for launching conventional conflicts, and c) there is more chance of them spreading.
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If Iran gains nuclear weapons other countries in the region are likely to want them too, at least this is how a Middle Eastern arms race is often presented. But according to this article a nuclear arms race is not at all certain, instead it argues there would be a race to gain a clear advantage in the means to wage conventional wars. This is dangerous because a) the time scales for the acquisition of conventional weapons are much shorter than for nuclear ones, b) there is a lower threshold for launching conventional conflicts, and c) there is more chance of them spreading.

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