Losing ground : the future of central government in Iraq / Michael Knights
Material type: TextPublication details: 2007Subject(s): In: Jane's Intelligence Review Vol 19 No 2, February 2007, pp.6-13Summary: Despite American plans Iraq's central government appears to be losing ground compared with local powerbrokers. This article provides an overview then presents and analyses three scenarios for development in 2007: a) central government recovers some degree of authority; b) there is a de facto partition with the key dynamics being between the various armed sub-state groups; c) collapse of central government. Scenario B is considered most likely. The article includes Jane's country risk model for Iraq.Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
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Journal Article | Mindef Library & Info Centre Journals | IRAQ (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Not for loan | 21762-1001 |
Despite American plans Iraq's central government appears to be losing ground compared with local powerbrokers. This article provides an overview then presents and analyses three scenarios for development in 2007: a) central government recovers some degree of authority; b) there is a de facto partition with the key dynamics being between the various armed sub-state groups; c) collapse of central government. Scenario B is considered most likely. The article includes Jane's country risk model for Iraq.
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