Losing ground : the future of central government in Iraq / Michael Knights

By: Material type: TextTextPublication details: 2007Subject(s): In: Jane's Intelligence Review Vol 19 No 2, February 2007, pp.6-13Summary: Despite American plans Iraq's central government appears to be losing ground compared with local powerbrokers. This article provides an overview then presents and analyses three scenarios for development in 2007: a) central government recovers some degree of authority; b) there is a de facto partition with the key dynamics being between the various armed sub-state groups; c) collapse of central government. Scenario B is considered most likely. The article includes Jane's country risk model for Iraq.
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Journal Article Mindef Library & Info Centre Journals IRAQ (Browse shelf(Opens below)) 1 Not for loan 21762-1001

Despite American plans Iraq's central government appears to be losing ground compared with local powerbrokers. This article provides an overview then presents and analyses three scenarios for development in 2007: a) central government recovers some degree of authority; b) there is a de facto partition with the key dynamics being between the various armed sub-state groups; c) collapse of central government. Scenario B is considered most likely. The article includes Jane's country risk model for Iraq.

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