Uncertainty, forecasting and the difficulty of strategy / Stephan Fruhling
Material type:
TextPublication details: 2006Subject(s):
In:
Comparative Strategy Vol 25 No 1, January-March 2006, pp.19-31 (113)Summary: Describes the four basic sources of uncertainty that make it difficult to predict the international security environment: intelligence and deception, friction, strategic interactions with the enemy, and revolutions in military affairs. Because none of the basic sources of uncertainty can be eliminated strategy will always be difficult and will always remain an art rather than a science.
| Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Journal Article | Mindef Library & Info Centre Journals | MILITARY ART & SCIENCE (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Not for loan | 20480-1001 |
Describes the four basic sources of uncertainty that make it difficult to predict the international security environment: intelligence and deception, friction, strategic interactions with the enemy, and revolutions in military affairs. Because none of the basic sources of uncertainty can be eliminated strategy will always be difficult and will always remain an art rather than a science.
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