Leader age, regime type, and violent international relations / by Michael Horowitz, Rose McDermott, Allan C Stam
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TextPublication details: 2005Subject(s):
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The Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol 49 No 5, October 2005, pp.601-685Summary: Using a dataset of 100,000 two-state confrontations that occurred between 1875 and 2002, this article considers the relationship between the age of political leaders, the type of regime they lead, and the propensity for armed dispute. Finds that, in general, as leaders get older they become more likely to both start and escalate militarized disputes. However in personalist regimes as leader age increases the relative risk of conflict declines in comparison to other types of regime. By contrast increasing leader age in democracies increases the relative risk propensity. Indicates the importance of these findings for international diplomacy, crisis bargaining, and international game playing theories.
| Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Journal Article | Mindef Library & Info Centre On-Shelf | XX(19121.1) (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Not for loan | 19121-1001 |
Using a dataset of 100,000 two-state confrontations that occurred between 1875 and 2002, this article considers the relationship between the age of political leaders, the type of regime they lead, and the propensity for armed dispute. Finds that, in general, as leaders get older they become more likely to both start and escalate militarized disputes. However in personalist regimes as leader age increases the relative risk of conflict declines in comparison to other types of regime. By contrast increasing leader age in democracies increases the relative risk propensity. Indicates the importance of these findings for international diplomacy, crisis bargaining, and international game playing theories.
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