Winter is coming: emerging war in the Taiwan Strait?/ Tony Tai-Ting Liu and Tung-Chieh Tsai

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextPublication details: 2021Subject(s): In: The Journal of East Asian Affairs Vol 34 No.1, Spring/Summer 2021, pp.37-60 (35)Summary: Following the election of Tsai Ing-wen and the DPP in Taiwan in January 2020, US-China-Taiwan relations stand at a crossroad. Since 2016, Cross-strait relations improve steadily, such development has edged the Taiwan Strait closer to confilct, as Beijing long regards the issue of Taiwan as un-negotiable. If US-China-Taiwan relations remain unchanged, conflict may likely be inevitable in the near future. This article reviews the development of Cross-strait relations and US-Taiwan relations over the past five years and identifies key varibles that will implicate security in the Taiwan Strait. The authors argue that stringent peace in the Taiwan Strait offers little to be optimistic about, as the danger conflict may be closer than expected.
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Following the election of Tsai Ing-wen and the DPP in Taiwan in January 2020, US-China-Taiwan relations stand at a crossroad. Since 2016, Cross-strait relations improve steadily, such development has edged the Taiwan Strait closer to confilct, as Beijing long regards the issue of Taiwan as un-negotiable. If US-China-Taiwan relations remain unchanged, conflict may likely be inevitable in the near future. This article reviews the development of Cross-strait relations and US-Taiwan relations over the past five years and identifies key varibles that will implicate security in the Taiwan Strait. The authors argue that stringent peace in the Taiwan Strait offers little to be optimistic about, as the danger conflict may be closer than expected.

CHINA, USA, EASTASIA, TAIWAN, ASIAN

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