A brutal examination: Russian military capability in light of the Ukraine war/ Robert Dalsjö, Michael Jonsson & Johan Norberg

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DALSJÖ Robert

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TextPublication details: 2022Subject(s):

AIR DEFENCE -- BALANCE OF POWER -- CAMPAIGN ANALYSIS -- COMBINED-ARMS OPERATIONS -- LOGISTICS -- MORALE -- NATO -- VLADIMIR PUTIN -- RUSSIAN MILITARY CAPABILITY -- UKRAINE

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In: Survival Vol.64, No.3, June-July 2022, pp.7-28 (106)Summary: Russian armed forces' lacklustre performance in Ukraine has surprised military analysts. Shortcomings have included breakdowns in logistics, poor equipment and morale, abysmal communications, and muddled command and control, as well as a weak showing by the Russian Aerospace Forces, air defence, and cruise and ballistic missiles. Chief among the contributing factors are wishful political thinking, overreliance on esoteric doctrine and endemic corruption. War, however, brutally exposes peacetime cheating. Consequently, estimates of Russian military capabilities - in particular, for large-formation combined-arms operations, logistics, air defence and intangibles such as morale - need to be carefully reassessed. Earlier analyses of a Russia-NATO conflict appear to have overstated the challenge of defending Europe. Looking ahead, the conventional threat from Russia seems less daunting than previously thought, and the country faces a formidable task in repairing depleted capabilities. That said, President Vladimir Putin's appetite for risk is greater than anticipated.

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Item type	Current library	Call number	Copy number	Status	Date due	Barcode
Journal Article	Mindef Library & Info Centre Journals	RUSSIA (Browse shelf(Opens below))	1	Not for loan		67515.1001

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Russian armed forces' lacklustre performance in Ukraine has surprised military analysts. Shortcomings have included breakdowns in logistics, poor equipment and morale, abysmal communications, and muddled command and control, as well as a weak showing by the Russian Aerospace Forces, air defence, and cruise and ballistic missiles. Chief among the contributing factors are wishful political thinking, overreliance on esoteric doctrine and endemic corruption. War, however, brutally exposes peacetime cheating. Consequently, estimates of Russian military capabilities - in particular, for large-formation combined-arms operations, logistics, air defence and intangibles such as morale - need to be carefully reassessed. Earlier analyses of a Russia-NATO conflict appear to have overstated the challenge of defending Europe. Looking ahead, the conventional threat from Russia seems less daunting than previously thought, and the country faces a formidable task in repairing depleted capabilities. That said, President Vladimir Putin's appetite for risk is greater than anticipated.

RUSSIA, MILITARY, NATO, UKRAINE

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