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Forward thinking : cognitive techniques support better forecasting/ Nick Hare

By:

NICK Hare

Contributor(s):

COGHILL Peter

Material type: Text

TextPublication details: 2016Subject(s):

NORTH KOREA -- NUCLEAR

In: Jane's Intelligence Review: June 2016, Vol.28 Iss.6, pp.54-57 (123)Summary: The article analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes Theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear proggrame. Key points a long running study into political forecasting performance has identified a number of procedures.

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Item type	Current library	Call number	Copy number	Status	Date due	Barcode
Journal Article	Mindef Library & Info Centre Journals	NORTH KOREA (Browse shelf(Opens below))	1	Not for loan		49268-1001

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Previous	NORTH KOREA A proliferation plateau may offer unique opportunities/	NORTH KOREA Getting what we need with North Korea/	NORTH KOREA South Korea's elusive middlepowermanship : regional or global player/	NORTH KOREA Forward thinking : cognitive techniques support better forecasting/	NORTH KOREA Pressure is on : Kim Jung-un orders North Korean nuclear arsenal readied/	NORTH KOREA Disrupting North Korea's military markets/	NORTH KOREA Can a North Korean ICBM be prevented?/	Next

The article analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes Theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear proggrame. Key points a long running study into political forecasting performance has identified a number of procedures.

KOREA

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