Does plausible deniability work?: (Record no. 43244)
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000 -LEADER | |
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fixed length control field | 01629cam a2200157 4500 |
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | PISCHEDDA Costantino |
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Does plausible deniability work?: |
Remainder of title | assessing the effectiveness of unclaimed coercive acts in the Ukraine war/ |
Statement of responsibility, etc. | Pischedda Costantino and Andrew Cheon |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2023 |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc. | States conduct unclaimed coercive acts, imposing costs on adversaries to signal resolve but denying (or not claiming) responsibility. Some scholars posit that unclaimed acts have considerable potential to coerce targets, while containing escalation risks. Others suggest that unclaimed coercive efforts tend to fail and trigger escalation. We assess these competing perspectives about the effects of unclaimed attacks with a vignette experiment exposing US-based respondents to a scenario where, after Russia warns of unpredictable consequences if NATO continues providing weapons to Ukraine, an explosion occurs at a NATO base in Poland used to funnel weapons to Ukraine. Intelligence agencies and independent analysts identify Russia as the likely culprit, while not ruling out the possibility of an accident. We randomize whether Russia claimed or denied responsibility for the explosion and find that unclaimed acts have lower coercive leverage than claimed ones, but the two do not significantly differ in escalation risk. |
598 ## - BULLETIN HEADING | |
Bulletin Heading | UKRAINE |
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name entry element | UKRAINE WAR |
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | CHEON Andrew |
773 ## - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
Main entry heading | Contemporary Security Policy: |
Related parts | Vol 44, No 3, July 2023, pp345-371 |
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13523260.2023.2212464/">https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13523260.2023.2212464/</a> |
Public note | click here for full text |
945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC) | |
i | 70174-1001 |
r | N |
s | Y |
Withdrawn status | Lost status | Source of classification or shelving scheme | Damaged status | Not for loan | Home library | Current library | Shelving location | Date acquired | Total checkouts | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Copy number | Price effective from | Koha item type |
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Dewey Decimal Classification | Mindef Library & Info Centre | Mindef Library & Info Centre | Journals | 25/11/2023 | UKRAINE | 70174-1001 | 03/01/2024 | 1 | 03/01/2024 | Journal Article |