Measuring and forecasting the rise of China: (Record no. 42539)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01613cam a2200217 4500
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name MOYER Jonathan D.
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Measuring and forecasting the rise of China:
Remainder of title reality over image/
Statement of responsibility, etc. Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel & Austin S. Matthews
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2023
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. The rise of Chinese capabilities relative to those of the United States has received widespread attention. Some argue that a transition in relative capabilities has already occurred, others that it is unlikely within this century. This article presents a new multidimensional measure of relative national capabilities and forecasts using the International Futures model across 29 alternative scenarios. This article finds that Chinese capabilities surpass the United States in 26 scenarios before 2060, with the most frequent period of power transition being the early 2040s. This analysis offers an opportunity for leaders to reconcile national images with reality, potentially reducing the risk of conflict associated with great power transition.
598 ## - BULLETIN HEADING
Bulletin Heading CHINA, USA, POLICY
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element POWER IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS: FROM CONCEPT TO MEASUREMENT
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element QUANTIFYING RELATIVE NATIONAL CAPABILITIES
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element THE DIME INDEX
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element THE FOREIGN POLICY IMPLICATIONS
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Topical term or geographic name entry element UNITED STATES AND CHINA
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name MEISEL Collin J.
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name MATTHEWS Austin S.
773 ## - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Main entry heading Journal Of Contemporary China :
Related parts Vol.32, No. 140, January 2023, pp.191-206 (102)
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10670564.2022.2071879">https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10670564.2022.2071879</a>
Public note Click here for full text
945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
i 69479.1001
r Y
s Y
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Total checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type
          Mindef Library & Info Centre Mindef Library & Info Centre Journals 19/04/2023   CHINA 69479.1001 03/01/2024 1 03/01/2024 Journal Article