Did Urbanization or Ethnicity Matter More in Malaysia's 14th General Election?/ (Record no. 40925)
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000 -LEADER | |
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fixed length control field | 01624cam a2200169 4500 |
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | NG Jason Wei Jian |
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Did Urbanization or Ethnicity Matter More in Malaysia's 14th General Election?/ |
Statement of responsibility, etc. | Jason Wei Jian Ng, Gary John Rangel and Elsa Phung Yet Chin |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2021 |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc. | This article focuses on identifying the variable which has the highest predictive power in predicting electoral behaviour. To do this, we apply a tree-based machine learning technique to data from Malaysia's 14th General Election. We find that constituencies' urbanization level has the most significant predictive power in determining vote share. Ethnicity, a long-touted variable of significance, plays a secondary role. Moreover, these predictors' marginal effects on the vote share are highly complex, non-linear and difficult to pick up by conventional regression methods. Other explanatory factors do not exhibit significant predictive qualities of electoral behaviour, although the extant literature has shown them to have important causal relationships. As our analysis reflects the significant predictive power of urbanization in predicting voting behaviour, we caution against the haste to dismiss its relevance in the Malaysian context. |
598 ## - BULLETIN HEADING | |
Bulletin Heading | MALAYSIA, POLITICS |
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name entry element | URBANIZATION |
General subdivision | ETHNICITY |
-- | MALAYSIA |
-- | 14TH GENERAL ELECTION |
-- | SOUTHEAST ASIA |
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | RANGEL Gary John |
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | CHIN Elsa Phung Yet |
773 ## - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
Main entry heading | Contemporary Southeast Asia : |
Related parts | Vol. 43, No. 3, December 2021, pp.461-495 (19) |
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="https://muse.jhu.edu/article/845142">https://muse.jhu.edu/article/845142</a> |
Public note | Click here for more |
945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC) | |
i | 66801.1001 |
r | Y |
s | Y |
Withdrawn status | Lost status | Source of classification or shelving scheme | Damaged status | Not for loan | Home library | Current library | Shelving location | Date acquired | Total checkouts | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Copy number | Price effective from | Koha item type |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mindef Library & Info Centre | Mindef Library & Info Centre | Journals | 08/03/2022 | MALAYSIA | 66801.1001 | 03/01/2024 | 1 | 03/01/2024 | Journal Article |