The policy value of quantitative atrocity forecasting models/

NANLOHY Sascha

The policy value of quantitative atrocity forecasting models/ Sascha Nanlohy, et.al - 2017

It is time to integrate quantitative atrocity forecasting more directly and systematically into the foreign policy processes of middle and major powers interested in preventing these terrible but all too common events. This article analyses the potential utility of relatively reliable mid-to-long-term forecasts, using a number of examples to illustrate the main points.


FOREIGN POLICY
SOCIAL SCIENCE
POLITICS--POWER
POLITICS--CONFLICT