In the eye of the beholder : how leaders and intelligence communities assess the intentions of adversaries /

YARHI-MILO Keren

In the eye of the beholder : how leaders and intelligence communities assess the intentions of adversaries / Keren Yarhi-Milo. - 2013

Uses three case studies to assess the "selective attention thesis" as a new tool for understanding how leaders decide what the long-term political intentions of their states' adversaries are likely to be. Compares this approach with other rationalist theories (behaviour thesis and capability thesis). The cases considered are the Carter administration assessment of USSR intentions during the collapse of detente 1977-1980; the Reagan administration assessment of Soviet intentions during the end of the Cold War 1985-1988; and British assessment of German intentions before the outbreak of the Second World War 1934-1939.


INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS--DECISION MAKING