Coping with uncertainty : dilemmas of defense planning /

GRAY Colin S

Coping with uncertainty : dilemmas of defense planning / Colin S Gray - 2008

This is a first class summary of the difficulties inherent in planning in general and planning defence in particular. The future is unknowable and the present provides too little information for rational planning. History is the most important source on which to draw, but it is important to understand that even history is an unreliable guide. (This is the text of a speech but there is no indication of where or when it was given).


DEFENCE PLANNING